Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.191816 0.218377 0.246890 0.279727 0.316453 0.356213 0.402467
2025-12-21 0.154832 0.190050 0.230406 0.279901 0.338790 0.406425 0.489792
2025-12-28 0.130871 0.171400 0.220508 0.284026 0.363600 0.459553 0.583528
2026-01-04 0.114214 0.158439 0.214727 0.290985 0.390866 0.516415 0.685224
2026-01-11 0.099553 0.145571 0.206824 0.293350 0.411276 0.565061 0.779199
2026-01-18 0.088874 0.136354 0.202171 0.298707 0.435022 0.618668 0.882370
2026-01-25 0.080942 0.129795 0.200078 0.306742 0.462243 0.677922 0.996198
2026-02-01 0.071841 0.120262 0.192474 0.305719 0.475920 0.718592 1.086045
2026-02-08 0.064061 0.111723 0.185272 0.304230 0.488189 0.757292 1.174593
2026-02-15 0.057412 0.104138 0.178625 0.302678 0.499735 0.795004 1.263156
2026-02-22 0.053358 0.100322 0.177437 0.309312 0.523910 0.852443 1.383732
2026-03-01 0.048520 0.094577 0.172477 0.309253 0.537202 0.893637 1.481328
2026-03-08 0.044000 0.089029 0.167552 0.309193 0.551064 0.937466 1.587151
2026-03-15 0.040097 0.084150 0.163288 0.309815 0.565958 0.983651 1.699178
2026-03-22 0.037233 0.080888 0.161537 0.314565 0.587978 1.042412 1.834424
2026-03-29 0.035064 0.078717 0.161528 0.322319 0.615533 1.111614 1.990175
2026-04-05 0.032450 0.075331 0.158897 0.324978 0.634137 1.166593 2.124791
2026-04-12 0.030474 0.073027 0.158090 0.330888 0.658800 1.233002 2.281796
2026-04-19 0.028989 0.071593 0.158826 0.339718 0.689227 1.310788 2.461875
2026-04-26 0.026608 0.067897 0.154660 0.338606 0.700938 1.356031 2.587178
2026-05-03 0.024412 0.064346 0.150439 0.336979 0.711424 1.399396 2.710928
2026-05-10 0.022421 0.061023 0.146370 0.335280 0.721529 1.442373 2.835715
2026-05-17 0.021351 0.059779 0.146649 0.342556 0.749598 1.519650 3.026072